Russia’s overnight missile and drone assault struck energy facilities across 10 Ukrainian regions, Ukraine’s deputy energy minister said, after a barrage of roughly 99 missiles forced emergency blackouts in Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and Cherkasy Oblast. Russia’s Defense Ministry confirmed the strike on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, which cut electricity to more than 200,000 residents in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast alone on top of existing rolling outages.
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Ukrainian air defenses, relying primarily on F-16 and Mirage-2000 fighter jets, shot down only about 29 of roughly 70 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched by Tu-95MS and Tu-160M strategic bombers and failed to intercept any of the approximately 29 ballistic, hypersonic and supersonic missiles fired, monitoring channels reported. The assault included roughly 17 Iskander-M and six KN-23 ballistic missiles, four Zircon hypersonic missiles and two Oniks-M supersonic missiles, following a 72 hour campaign of about 2,000 Geran-2, Geran-4 and Geran-5 drones that targeted substations and railways, reduced internet connectivity in Zhytomyr Oblast to 48% of normal levels and depleted air defense interceptors.
Dnipro’s Prydniprovska Thermal Power Plant took roughly 27 missile hits, including 17 Kh-101s, six Iskander-Ms and four KN-23s that started a major fire at the site. Roughly 20 Kh-101s and four Zircons struck the Ladyzhyn Thermal Power Plant in Vinnytsia Oblast, four Kh-101s and two KN-23s hit the Kryvyi Rih Thermal Power Plant in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and Iskander-M missiles struck the Kaniv Hydroelectric Power Plant in Cherkasy Oblast as well as the Zmiivska and TEC-5 thermal plants in Kharkiv Oblast.
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Story, how it could play out
Russia continues a coordinated winter campaign against Ukraine’s power generation and transmission network, aiming to overwhelm repairs before colder weather. Ukraine avoids a nationwide grid collapse, but rolling outages expand across major cities and industrial regions.
Ukraine improves interception rates after the latest barrage and prevents Russia from compounding the damage. Western governments accelerate air-defense ammunition deliveries, allowing Kyiv to keep the grid functional through emergency repairs.
The next wave of Russian strikes lands close to NATO borders or creates air-defense incidents over western Ukraine. NATO avoids direct involvement, but Poland and Romania raise air policing activity and investors price a modest increase in escalation risk.
Kyiv responds to the grid campaign by targeting Russian bomber bases, missile logistics and oil infrastructure used to support the strikes. The exchange remains below the threshold for NATO intervention, but defense and energy markets react to a more active tit-for-tat phase.
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