Where this week’s sagas could go

Possible scenarios

1. 40%Judicial Containment+0.0%
2. 25%Protests Broaden-0.3%
3. 20%Court Intervention+0.3%

Possible scenarios

1. 42%Cuts Take Hold-0.9%
2. 26%Courts Slow Policy+0.2%
3. 20%Firms Adapt Abroad-0.4%

Possible scenarios

1. 38%Selloff Deepens-0.5%
2. 32%Confidence Partly Returns+0.3%
3. 20%Rivals Gain Share+0.3%

Possible scenarios

1. 40%Contained Korea Rout-1.4%
2. 25%Authorities Calm Market+1.1%
3. 20%Global AI Derating-2.2%

Possible scenarios

1. 88%Persistent French sovereign-bond market stress-3.2%
2. 10%French OAT market pressure fades without further rating action-0.0%

Possible scenarios

1. 86%Iran operationally suspends NPT/IAEA verification cooperation-1.6%
2. 3%Operational Iranian nuclear-monitoring access and limited sanctions relief+0.8%