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Global Markets$GOOGL
Portfolio
The military of Iran announced on Oct 30 that a US vessel in the Strait of Hormuz had been destroyed. The announcement by the Iranian navy comes as the two nations continue military hostilities in the region.
Iran operationally suspends NPT/IAEA verification cooperation
86%−1.6%
DeepSeek closes at least $12 billion financing and expands Huawei-based AI infrastructure
74%−0.4%
Portfolio
Portfolio
−1.8%
Oct 30 close
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−8.0%
From todayIranian Navy Says It Destroyed US Ship in Strait of Hormuz
87%−7.5%
Restricted Hormuz throughput creates a stagflation shock: the broad equity market falls 7%, erasing $6.72T over 20 days as energy, freight and financing costs rise while growth weakens. Energy gains 3.7%, but Consumer Cyclicals lose 9.5% and Technology loses 8.8%, because producers benefit from scarcity while energy users and growth-sensitive assets absorb higher costs and lower valuations.
13%−12.8%
A near-total halt in Strait of Hormuz energy traffic produces a stagflationary shock: the broad equity market falls 12%, erasing $11.5 trillion over 20 days. Expensive energy, freight and financing punish technology and consumer-sensitive businesses, while energy gains 5.3% as higher oil and LNG realizations outweigh the wider selloff.
2%+4.3%
Sustained Hormuz transit normalization lifts the broad equity market 4%, adding $3.84T as cheaper energy, shipping and credit support risk appetite. Energy loses pricing support, while technology and fuel-importing utilities benefit from lower costs and easier financial conditions.
74%−0.4%
40%0.0%
86%−1.6%
3%+0.8%
15%0.0%
8%0.0%
88%0.0%
4%0.0%
Portfolio
−1.8%
Oct 30 close
Prediction markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31
Iran charges Hormuz fees by…
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30
The crowd, on a related question
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal, by
0%
7%
12%
The crowd, on a related question
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal, by
100%
93%
89%
The crowd, on a related question
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal, by
100%
93%
89%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8
74%AI bubble burst in 2026
10%US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
38%