The extension further strains a global market that lost an estimated 1.1 million bpd of diesel from Russia and the Middle East combined between March and August 2026. Russian supply fell by 615,000 bpd year on year in July and August, coinciding with Ukrainian drone strikes hitting roughly 4 plants per week. Other fuel bans remain active, including a total prohibit on gasoline exports until Jan 31, 2027, and a jet fuel ban until Nov 30.
