Independent analysts dispute these figures, estimating that current traffic averages roughly 13.2M bpd, which remains below the 21M bpd pre-war level. An AIS-based reporting service further challenged a previous CENTCOM claim of 1 billion barrels over 60 days, asserting the actual volume was closer to 600 million barrels. This volatility comes as Iran targeted more than a dozen ships over the last week, prompting CENTCOM to provide escorts for thousands of civilian vessels.
