• 

  45%+0.1%

  Hyde-Smith Narrowly Holds

  Cindy Hyde-Smith survives the late tightening as remaining rural and small-county precincts offset Scott Colom’s strength in Jackson, the Delta and university areas. The result preserves Mississippi’s Republican Senate streak despite national Democratic spending and endorsements from Barack Obama and Pete Buttigieg.

  Energy +0.2% · Healthcare +0.1%

• 

  30%−0.4%

  Colom Wins Upset

  Scott Colom overtakes Hyde-Smith as late-counted ballots from Democratic-heavy counties and strong Black turnout erase the early Republican lead. A Democratic win in Mississippi would be a nationally significant upset and could affect expectations for Senate control.

  Energy −0.7% · Healthcare −0.5% · Industrials +0.3%

• 

  18%−0.3%

  Recount Fight Emerges

  The count ends with neither campaign ready to concede, and provisional, absentee and county certification issues become decisive. The uncertainty matters because Mississippi unexpectedly becomes part of the broader Senate-control calculation.

  Finance −0.3% · Technology −0.1%

• 

  7%+0.2%

  Toss-Up Call Reversed

  The narrowing reflected incomplete or unrepresentative county reporting rather than a durable statewide shift. As vote tabulation normalizes, Hyde-Smith’s advantage becomes clearer and the race loses national suspense.

  Energy +0.4% · Healthcare +0.1%

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if it happens. For information only. Not investment advice.