Possible scenario
Toss-Up Call Reversed
7%
+0.2%
The narrowing reflected incomplete or unrepresentative county reporting rather than a durable statewide shift. As vote tabulation normalizes, Hyde-Smith’s advantage becomes clearer and the race loses national suspense.
What it moves
- Energy+0.4%
- Healthcare+0.1%
- Market volatility
- 10-year Treasury yield
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.