Colom Wins Upset

30%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Scott Colom overtakes Hyde-Smith as late-counted ballots from Democratic-heavy counties and strong Black turnout erase the early Republican lead. A Democratic win in Mississippi would be a nationally significant upset and could affect expectations for Senate control.

What it moves

Energy−0.7%
Healthcare−0.5%
Market volatility▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?