Possible scenario
Recount Fight Emerges
18%
−0.3%
The count ends with neither campaign ready to concede, and provisional, absentee and county certification issues become decisive. The uncertainty matters because Mississippi unexpectedly becomes part of the broader Senate-control calculation.
What it moves
- Finance−0.3%
- Technology−0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.