The adjusted ratings suggest a more contested environment than the competitive landscape observed immediately following the 2024 elections. These metrics, released via the Crystal Ball, identify changes in party strength across these key seats as the 2026 midterms approach.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Crystal Ball Shifts Kansas Senate Race to Tossup in 5 Rating Changes
US Politics6 days ago
Larry Sabato modified his projections for the 2026 US Senate map on October 14, moving New Hampshire to Likely Democratic and Mississippi to Likely Republican from Safe Republican. The updates for five states also included Kansas shifting from Lean Republican to a toss-up, Minnesota moving from Likely Democratic to Lean Democratic, and Nebraska moving from Likely Republican to Lean Republican.
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