Possible scenario
Race Stays Deadlocked
15% Chance
The Crystal Ball move marks the beginning of an extended tossup rather than a clear trend. Both parties pour in money, polling remains noisy, and Kansas becomes one of the final unresolved Senate contests.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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