The poll, conducted by a Republican-affiliated firm, highlights a 37 point shift among Independents since October 2022, moving from a 9 point Republican lead to a 28 point Democratic lead. In a retrospective question regarding the 2024 election using current information, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump 50% to 44%. Some analysts noted Harris is underperforming the generic ballot by roughly 4 points relative to Trump's current approval metrics.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
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Democrats Hit Cycle High 52% Share in Republican Cygnal Poll
US Politics13 days ago
A survey of 1,500 likely voters conducted Oct. 1-2 shows a 9 point advantage for Democrats on the generic congressional ballot. Democrats hold a 52% share to Republicans' 43%, which is the largest share for the party recorded by the polling firm Cygnal this cycle. The data shows significant leads for Democrats among Hispanic voters (30 points) and suburban voters (19 points), while Republicans maintain a 9 point lead among those who plan to vote on Election Day.
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