Broader YouGov data on 2026 Senate races show Democrats leading in several states, including James Talarico in Texas by 6 points and Chris Pappas in New Hampshire by 8 points. However, Republicans maintain a strong grip on specific demographics across these states, leading among white non-college voters by as much as 32 points in Florida and holding a lead among seniors ranging from 4 points in New Hampshire to 20 points in Florida. Democrats hold 70+ point leads among Black voters in all states where the data was recorded.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Republicans Lead Florida Senate and Governor Races by 10 and 7 Points
US Politics14 days ago
Incumbent Senator Ashley Moody is supported by 50% of likely voters in Florida, while opponent Angie Nixon holds 40% in a survey by Mason-Dixon and Telemundo conducted from Sept. 28 to Oct. 1. In the race for governor, Republican Byron Donalds leads Democrat David Jolly 48% to 41%. These margins are wider than figures from a YouGov poll, which showed Moody with a 5% lead and Donalds with a 2% lead, leading consultant Marc Caputo to describe the Mason-Dixon results as a "house of horrors" for Democrats, specifically noting poor numbers among Hispanic voters.
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