Republican Ashley Moody maintains a lead over Democrat Angie Nixon 49% to 44% in Florida. This result aligns with Polymarket odds that assign an 89% probability that Republicans will extend their winning streak in Florida Senate races to 5 straight elections. Other tight races in the survey include Michigan, where El-Sayed leads Rogers 49% to 48%, and Nebraska, where Osborn leads Ricketts 48% to 47%.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Democrats Lead 6 of 7 Senate Races in New YouGov Poll
US Politics14 days ago
James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 50% to 44% in the contest for a Texas U.S. Senate seat. A new YouGov survey of seven Senate races conducted from Sept. 28 to Oct. 5 among likely voters shows Democratic candidates ahead in Texas, New Hampshire, Ohio, Michigan, Nebraska, and Kansas. Talarico's 6 point advantage in Texas mirrors a separate poll released within the last 48 hours, indicating a consistent trend for the Democrat in that state.
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