A separate YouGov poll conducted from September 28 to October 5 shows Talarico leading Paxton by 5 points. Discrepancies have surfaced regarding the timing of the first survey, with reports suggesting the actual fieldwork may have occurred from September 8 to September 18 before its release today.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Paxton and Talarico Tie at 45% for Texas Senate Seat
US Politics12 days ago
A UMass Lowell and YouGov survey of 850 likely voters reveals a statistical deadlock in one of the state's top 2026 races. Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico each hold 45% of support for the US Senate seat, with Ted Brown at 2%. In the race for governor, incumbent Greg Abbott leads Democrat Gina Hinojosa 48% to 44%, while Pat Dixon holds 1%. The poll was conducted between September 18 and September 28 with a margin of error of ±4.5%.
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