The polls also reinforce trends in Senate races, where Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 50% to 44% in Texas, marking Talarico's 30th lead over Paxton. In Florida, Republican Ashley Moody leads Angie Nixon 49% to 44%, a result that aligns with PolyMarket's 89% probability that Republicans will extend their winning streak in Florida Senate races to five consecutive elections.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
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Republicans Lead 4 of 7 Governor Races in YouGov Polls
US Politics14 days ago
Jeanne Ayotte holds a 9 point lead in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race in recent YouGov surveys of likely voters. The data, collected between Sept. 18 and Oct. 6, show Republicans leading in four of seven contests, including Byron Donalds in Florida by 2%, Masterson in Kansas by 3%, and Pillen in Nebraska by 1%. Democrats maintain leads in Ohio with Acton up 4%, Michigan with Benson leading by 3%, and Texas with Hinojosa ahead by 1%.
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