Possible scenario
Tossup Map Returns
22% Chance
The apparent Republican lead fades into a broadly uncertain map as different polls produce conflicting results. Campaigns, donors and forecasters treat Michigan, Georgia, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada and Kansas as true tossups rather than races with firm partisan direction.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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