Contained Depot Fire

Russian emergency services contain the fire at the Rosneft-linked fuel depot with limited damage and no sustained disruption to Sheremetyevo operations. This is the most likely outcome because recent Moscow-area drone alerts have often produced temporary flight restrictions and localized infrastructure damage rather than broader systemic disruption.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.