Forecasting from Kalshi Politics indicates that Hamilton has a 34% probability of winning the U.S. Senate seat. The endorsements from former state executives come as candidates work to expand their appeal within the Kansas electorate.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
Story
US Politics18 days ago
Former Governor Mike Hayden, a Republican, announced his support for the challenger in the race to replace Senator Roger Marshall. Hayden is the second former Republican governor of Kansas to endorse Democrat Adam Hamilton, signaling a trend of cross-party backing for the candidate seeking to unseat the Republican incumbent.

Forecasting from Kalshi Politics indicates that Hamilton has a 34% probability of winning the U.S. Senate seat. The endorsements from former state executives come as candidates work to expand their appeal within the Kansas electorate.
Tilt chat provides reliable, tailored insights, alerts, and automations.
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
How we got here
Possible scenarios
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.