Possible scenario
Hamilton Wins Crossover
38% Chance
Adam Hamilton turns the endorsements from former Republican governors Mike Hayden and Bill Graves into proof that his campaign is not a standard national Democratic effort. Suburban Johnson County, moderate Republicans, independents, and abortion-rights voters give him a narrow path to unseat Roger Marshall.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
- Healthcare -0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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