Possible scenario
Race Stays Unsettled
18% Chance
The endorsements harden the perception that the contest is highly competitive, but neither campaign breaks away. A very close result leads to recount pressure, ballot challenges, and intense scrutiny of Johnson County and Sedgwick County totals.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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