Possible scenario
Talks Extend Process
+0.3%
The most likely outcome is that the Nov 10-11 meetings produce a continuing diplomatic channel rather than a ceasefire. Medinsky’s role signals Moscow may be reviving the 2022-style negotiating format, but the battlefield and territorial gaps remain too large for a comprehensive deal.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.2%
- Energy−0.2%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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