Strikes Continue

30%its chance, of the story’s futures

−1.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Houthis attempt follow-on attacks against Saudi energy infrastructure, keeping crude markets focused on supply security rather than repair estimates. Even if many projectiles are intercepted, repeated strikes sustain a geopolitical premium in Brent and WTI.

What it moves

Energy+2.2%
Consumer Services−1.4%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?