Damage Proves Contained

38%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Saudi Aramco and Saudi energy officials indicate the Ras Tanura damage is localized, with export operations largely maintained through storage and rerouting. Oil retains some geopolitical premium, but the market begins to price a repair timeline rather than a lasting supply outage.

What it moves

Energy−0.5%
Industrials+0.3%
Market volatility▼ down
Oil prices▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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