Maximalism Derails Talks

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.5%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Moscow may use the confusion around Trump’s plan to restate demands for all of Donbas and a broad security zone inside Ukraine. Kyiv and European governments would reject those conditions, making the advertised Putin-Zelenskyy meeting unlikely.

What it moves

Industrials+0.5%
Energy+0.3%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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