Orderly DOJ Transition

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The most likely path is a managed handoff in which Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche or senior DOJ leadership appoints an acting head for the National Security Division. The Iran leak inquiries and politically sensitive investigations continue, but the department avoids a broader rupture.

What it moves

Market volatility▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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