Limited Strategic Effect

its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Despite the headline number of drones and ballistic missiles, Ukraine prevents the campaign from inflicting a decisive near-term power-system failure. Repairs, imports and distributed generation keep the economic disruption below Russia’s apparent objective.

What it moves

Finance+0.2%
Technology+0.2%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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