Possible scenario
Western Response Shifts
+0.2%
The scale of the strike prompts a policy response from Washington, Brussels, and NATO capitals. The key uncertainty is whether the United States reverses its Patriot missile block or Europe funds alternative air-defense systems and grid-repair packages.
What it moves
- Industrials+1.0%
- Technology+0.2%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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