Impeachment Push Accelerates

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.7%on the S&P 500, if it happens

House Democrats use the DOJ probe as evidence of abuse of power and make it central to their planned investigations after taking control. The impeachment process becomes more likely, but conviction remains unlikely without a major Republican break in the Senate.

What it moves

Technology−0.8%
Finance−0.7%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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