DOJ Escalates Investigation

The Justice Department treats impeachment threats as potential obstruction or coercion and issues formal demands to Democratic offices and outside advisers. This would deepen the post-midterm confrontation and keep institutional-risk premia elevated, though it would still fall short of a full constitutional crisis unless arrests or indictments follow.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.