Possible scenario
Ukraine Expands Suppression
+0.1%
Kyiv uses newly permitted long-range strike authority to hunt Russian launchers, radars, and ammunition nodes that support attacks on Ukrainian cities. If successful, the campaign could reduce near-term missile pressure without forcing immediate Russian horizontal escalation.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.5%
- Energy−0.2%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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