Possible scenario
Sustained Energy Siege
−0.5%
Russia continues using ballistic missiles against Kyiv electricity nodes and Naftogaz facilities, exploiting Ukraine’s depleted Patriot inventories. The most likely near-term path is a prolonged but geographically contained energy campaign that forces rationing rather than an immediate military breakthrough.
What it moves
- Utilities−0.8%
- Energy+0.7%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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