Decision Desk HQ describes most of these placements as defensive, with the exception of Florida's 9th and 25th districts. Its win probability forecast gives Democrats a 71% chance in Arizona's 1st and a 63% chance in Florida's 25th, while North Carolina's 11th and Iowa's 2nd are rated as toss-ups. Republicans currently lead in Florida's 7th and 9th districts with 73% and 62% probabilities respectively.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
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NRCC Allots $1.3M to 6 House Races in New Ad Reserves
US Politics18 days ago
Coordinated future broadcast reservations for Republicans now stand at $16.1 million, while Democrats hold $10.3 million. The National Republican Congressional Committee increased its spending by $1.3 million in new reservations across six House contests on Oct. 2. The largest amounts went to North Carolina's 11th district at $442,000, Florida's 25th at $311,000, and Iowa's 2nd at $264,000, with the remainder split between Florida's 7th and 9th districts and Arizona's 1st.
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