Possible scenario
Limited Confidence Measures
+0.5%
The talks produce narrow, practical agreements short of a ceasefire. This is plausible because all parties may want to demonstrate diplomatic progress without resolving the hardest issues of territory, sanctions, and long-term security guarantees.
What it moves
- Industrials+0.7%
- Finance+0.3%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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