This data contrasts with a Tyson Group poll from Oct. 6-8 that placed Rogers ahead 46% to 44%, while some analysts noted El-Sayed had been losing momentum across a set of five recent polls. However, Fox News findings showed that 12% of voters backing Rogers for the Senate would switch parties to support Democrat Jocelyn Benson for governor. Prediction market Kalshi currently estimates El-Sayed's probability of victory at 69%.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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El Sayed Leads Mike Rogers 46 to 44 in Michigan Senate Poll
US Politics5 days ago
Decision Desk HQ reports that Abdul El-Sayed is currently favored to win the race for Michigan's U.S. Senate seat with a 70% probability. The forecaster's current polling average gives the Democrat a 2.4% edge and indicates that El-Sayed has maintained a generally consistent lead over Republican Mike Rogers since the primary. A separate Rasmussen Reports survey supports this standing, recording support at 46% for El-Sayed and 44% for Rogers.
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