Possible scenario
Regulatory Capacity Friction
12%
−0.2%
The scale of OpenAI’s contribution to Microsoft’s sales draws fresh attention from regulators, utilities, and large enterprise customers concerned about dependency on one AI-cloud stack. This is a lower-probability path, but the 11% sales figure gives policymakers and competitors a concrete concentration metric.
What it moves
- Technology−0.2%
- Utilities+0.2%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.