Analysts at the firm noted that poor approval ratings for President Trump have contributed to the Democratic gains in both states. While the Republican candidates remain favored to win, the updated ratings indicate that the margins of victory have narrowed, reducing the certainty of GOP wins in the two gubernatorial contests.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Cook Political Report Downgrades Republican Leads in Texas and Florida Races
US Politics19 days ago
Democratic candidates for governor in Texas and Florida have seen a surge in support, signaling a more competitive electoral environment in two traditionally strong GOP states. The Cook Political Report updated its forecasts on Thursday, shifting the ratings for these races from "Likely Republican" to "Lean Republican," with the Texas contest featuring Gina Hinojosa against Greg Abbott and the Florida race pitting David Jolly against Byron Donalds.
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