Republican Late Stabilization

24%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Republicans respond to the polling alarm with a disciplined turnout and donor mobilization effort in the final days. The party may still underperform historic Texas margins, but it avoids the statewide wipeout scenario.

What it moves

Energy+0.7%
Finance+0.3%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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