Draft Backlash Crisis

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.3%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The compromise advances but immediately faces secular protests, ultra-Orthodox street pressure and legal challenges. Even if Netanyahu is weakened, the draft issue becomes the new government’s first destabilizing crisis.

What it moves

Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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