Photo Finish Follows

16%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Bush-family support matters at the margin but does not produce a decisive break. Texas ends election night with Paxton and Talarico separated by a few tens of thousands of votes, making recount procedures and county certification deadlines central to the outcome.

What it moves

Finance−0.1%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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