Possible scenario
Democratic Coalition Holds
48%
−0.1%
Barbara Bush and Neil Bush make the anti-Paxton Republican split more visible, giving suburban moderates permission to cross party lines. James Talarico remains favored because the race had already shifted to Lean D before the latest Bush-family support became public.
What it moves
- Energy−0.3%
- Finance−0.2%
- Market volatility
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