GOP Rupture Deepens

8%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Bush endorsements become the start of a broader establishment Republican break from Paxton rather than an isolated gesture. Donors and elected Republicans aligned with the Cornyn-Bush wing decide defeating Paxton is preferable to preserving party unity.

What it moves

Energy−0.5%
Finance−0.4%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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