Possible scenario
Constitutional Clash Escalates
−0.2%
The dispute becomes a broader confrontation over executive power, press protections, and the independence of national-security prosecutions. This is less likely than a managed crackdown, but Trump’s prior rhetoric about leakers makes escalation plausible.
What it moves
- Consumer Services+0.2%
- Energy+0.1%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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