Republican voters recorded 327,859 returned early ballots in Arizona as of Oct 23, surpassing the 326,918 returns from Democrats to take a narrow statewide lead. Republicans now account for 38.6% of early votes, while Democrats hold 38.5% and other voters make up 23%.
The current early vote tally is 1.1 percentage points redder than the same period in 2022, though it remains 7.5 points bluer than in 2024. Republicans maintain a registration advantage of 313,000 voters and hold 101,280 more outstanding ballots than Democrats, which have not yet been returned.