The surge in support comes after an independent PAC spent at least $5.8 million on television advertisements targeting Bankhead to position Bodnar as the primary challenger to Alme. Pressure on the Democratic ticket increased after party chair Shannon O'Brien resigned to endorse Bodnar, though Bankhead has vowed to stay in the race. Decision Desk HQ previously forecast Alme as a 9 in 10 favorite to win the election.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Independent Seth Bodnar Leads Republican Kurt Alme in First Poll Showing Him Ahead in Montana Senate Race
US Politics5 days ago
A survey conducted by Concord Public Opinion Partners indicates that Seth Bodnar has captured 37% of the likely voter share for Montana's US Senate seat, edging out Republican Kurt Alme's 35%. Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead trails in the poll at 13% in a race with a margin of error of roughly 5%. These figures follow a boost in funding for Bodnar, with Joe Manchin's Super PAC spending $1.3 million to support the independent candidate, Federal Election Commission filings show.
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