Possible scenario
Three-Way Split Persists
17% Chance
Bankhead remains in the race and prevents a full anti-Republican consolidation behind Bodnar. This scenario is especially plausible because late endorsements do not always translate into ballot-level voter coordination in a three-way Senate race.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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