Possible scenario
Bodnar Breakthrough Holds
42% Chance
Seth Bodnar continues consolidating Democrats, independents, and moderate Republicans after Steve Bullock's endorsement and the Democratic chair's defection. Kurt Alme remains competitive in a Republican-leaning state, but the race shifts from a GOP-leaning contest to a true independent pickup opportunity.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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