Possible scenario
Allied Countermeasures
20%
−0.2%
Washington uses the ambassador’s remarks to build a coordinated response with Tokyo, Brussels, Canberra, and Seoul. The policy focus shifts from rhetoric to stockpiles, financing, and targeted trade actions against Chinese mineral leverage.
What it moves
- Non-Energy Materials+2.6%
- Industrials−0.5%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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