Possible scenario
Rates Drive Repricing
20%
−0.5%
The next move is determined less by earnings and more by the Treasury market after recent Fed hikes pushed the 10-year yield above 5%. Investors focus on whether inflation expectations keep rising or whether growth concerns trigger a flight to Treasuries.
What it moves
- Utilities−0.7%
- Finance−0.5%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.