Orderly Relief Bounce

35%its chance, of the story’s futures

+1.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Investors treat the 4.2% Nasdaq 100 drop as a fast valuation reset rather than the start of a systemic break. Dip-buying returns in megacap technology, especially if Treasury yields stop rising and no new inflation surprise appears.

What it moves

Technology+1.4%
Telecommunications+0.7%
Market volatility▼ down
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?